The World Relies on Nuclear Power
and Must Sharply Expand the Future
Nuclear Role
James Dutton, Retired
Argonne National Laboratory Prepared
August 1997
From the following table, we see the nations of the world acting in their
interest by adopting nuclear power. They know they must have a supply of energy
for economic growth and freedom from great hunger, disease, pollution, and
strife.
Nuclear share of electricity generation in various
countries as of December 19961
(* as of December 1995) |
Lithuania 83.44%
*France 76.1%
*Belgium 55.5%
*Sweden 46.6%
Slovak Republic 44.53%
*Hungary 42.3%
Bulgaria 42.24%
*Switzerland 39.9%
Slovenia 37.87%
* Ukraine 37.8%
Republic of Korea 35.77%
* Spain 34.1%
*Japan 33.4
* Germany 29.1% |
Taiwan 29.07%
Finland 28.13%
* United Kingdom 25%
United States 21.92%
* Czech Republic 20.1%
* Canada 17.3%
Russia 13.1%
Argentina 11.43%
South Africa 6.33%
Mexico 6%
India 2.21%
China 1.27%
Netherlands 0.8% |
Basic facts about people and energy:
- About 6-billion people live on planet Earth now.
- Almost 2-billion of them, 1/3 of the world's people, have no access
to electricity.
- About 1-billion of them have no access to commercial energy in any
form--not even gasoline or diesel fuel; they rely entirely on wood and other
biomass for fuel.
- In about 50 years, earth will be home to 10-billion people, and the
world energy supply must double or maybe triple over that time.
- In their struggle to advance themselves, underdeveloped and
industrializing nations will increase their use of energy far more rapidly than
industrialized economies will. 2
Coal use is rising:
- China is already burning more than 1-billion tons of coal a year--1/3
more than it did just a decade ago.
- India's coal use rose by 2/3 in the 1980s.
- South Korea's use of coal has more than doubled in the 1980s.
Fossil fuels impact the global environment.
The complex impacts of boundary-less air pollution problems on
political, economic, social, and standard-of-living issues were illustrated in
a meeting in Chicago, Illinois of scientists and policymakers from 37 states
trying to figure out what to do about air-pollution problems--coal-burning
power plants in three states send so much pollution to the Chicago metropolitan
area that cleanup to meet government standards is practically impossible. 3
Emissions from burning fossil fuels are air pollutants and may
contribute to global warming. Emissions do not recognize national boundaries.
People of all nations share the adverse impacts of fossil fuel use.
Obviously, energy policies should be orchestrated to recognize the
diverse energy needs of the people who share this planet, and to sustain their
aspirations and health.
In this light, nuclear energy is seen as a certain imperative--the only
practical, economical, large-scale source of electricity that does not pollute
the air or produce greenhouse gases.2
The U.S. role: either beneficial participation or leadership forfeited.
The U.S., with 5% of the world's population, consumes 23% of the
world's primary energy supply. So the U.S. has a special interest and
responsibility in seeing that world energy growth proceeds beneficially,
safely.
But the U.S. has vast reserves of coal, abundant natural gas, huge
supplies of capital, and we can produce, mine, build, or buy nearly anything we
need. So it is possible for the U.S. to have a national energy policy that
presumes we have abundant resources and can afford the luxury of:
- Abstract policy debates about whether and when we should build more
nuclear power plants,
- Overly legalistic procedures that stifle building plants or improving
technology,
- Deciding how to allocate the costs of demand-side management
programs,
- Debating how to price electricity transmission, and
- Waffling on whether or not the federal government should meet its
commitment to build storage and disposal facilities for used nuclear fuel.2
Such a narrow focus policy is unrealistic.
Summary
Other nations of the world continue using nuclear power in their own
interest, and expanding that use.
If the U.S. wishes to influence the safety standards and proliferation
resistance of the world's nuclear power plants and fuel cycles, it is
imperative that the country renew its role in developing and using nuclear
energy. U.S. disinterest would void our influence on how world energy needs are
met.
References
- International Datafile, International Atomic Energy Agency Bulletin,
p. 44, Vol 39, No. 1, 3/97.
- P. Bayne (President, Nuclear Energy Institute), Remarks to American
Nuclear Society Winter Conference, Washington DC, 11/14/94.
- P. Kendall, "Clean Air and Ozone Obey No Manmade Boundaries," Chicago
Tribune, 5/12/97.
For additional information, please contact CFRI, an independent organization of
retirees with extensive nuclear experience.
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